Index

Abstract

My role

1. Why new approaches must be studied for EQ prediction?

2. Reasons why should pay special attention on the work and approaches of Chinese EQ prediction practicing researchers?

3. Relativities between Geomagnetic Disturbance/Magnetic Storm – EQs and the “Magnetic Storm Double Time Method” for predicting the occurrence date, epicenter area and magnitudes of EQs

-- Studied by Zhang Tie-zheng since 1967

3.1 GD (Geomagnetic Disturbance)/MS (Magnetic Storms) – EQ

3.2 Time – Space characteristics of GD/MS observed by Zhang in 1966 - 1969

3.3 Regional space characteristics of GD/MSs

3.4 Time characteristics of GD/MSs

3.5 EQ Imminent GD precursors

3.6 Results of related EQ prediction by other Chinese EQ practicers

3.7 The “MS Double Time Method” for predicting the occurrence dates, epicenter location and magnitude – Discovered by Zhang in 1969

4. Stronger “Initial MS”/“MS to Double Time” corresponds with EQs with greater magnitudes (discovered in 1969/1970)

4.1 Geomagnetic Isolines from the MSs and EQ epicenter location

4.2 A strong “Initial MS” and a series of “MS to Double Time” could correspond with the occurrence dates of a series of EQs (Discovered by Zhang in 1968)

4.3 Relationship between one “Initial MS” and 40 “MS to Double Time” & corresponding EQs (May 26, 1967 ~ Sep. 1968)

4.4 One “MS to Double Time” used in predicting an EQ in certain cases could also be used as the “Initial MS” with later “MS to Double Time”(s) to predict later EQ(s)

4.5 Strong EQs, i.e. Ms>/=7.8, may correspond 4, 5, or more, sets of “Initial MS”--“MS to Double Time”

5. The “Geomagnetic Deflection Angle Double Time Method”

-- Developed by Shen Zhong-pei in 1970

5.1 Estimation of location

5.2 Prediction of occurrence date

5.3 Why/how the “Geomagnetic Deflection Angle Double Time Method” was modified/developed by Shen into the “MS Moon-Phase Double Time Method”

5.4 Some Initial Conclusions on achievements using “MS Moon-Phase Double Time Method” in long-term prediction of major worldwide EQ

6. Long-term/Medium-term predictions: How to predict possible locations of strong EQs?

6.1 The duration “Long-term EQ Cycles”: A few dozen years.

7. The Earth’s self-revolution and Earth’s revolution around the Sun: Which is the more important primary driving force causing crust structural movement and EQs?

8. Earth’s revolution around the Sun forms the primary driving force causing crust structural movements & EQs

-- How this was discovered by Chinese EQ practicers

1) Zhang Tie-zheng

2) Liu Cheng-chang

3) Zhang Jia-xiang

4) Wu Xi-hao

5) Yang Xue-xiang

9. Geomagnetic Daily, Monthly and Annual Regularities studied by Zhang Tie-zheng since 1967

9.1 “Exploring the use of geomagnetic for EQ prediction”

9.2 “Theoretical Exploration on EQ Prediction by “MS Double Time Method” – A paper by Zhang Tie-zheng in 1975

9.3 “Using Geomagnetic to Study the Crust’s Structural Movement”-- A paper by Zhang Tie-zheng (1996)

10. Relativities between different types natural disasters -- Liu Cheng -chang (1986)

10.1 Three types of relativities between different types natural disasters -- Liu Cheng-chang (1986)

1) Symmetric

2) Repeatability: Same or very close day, later years

3) Moon – Earth relativity (Moon phases)

10.2 Comet cycles and natural disasters -- Studied by Liu Cheng-chang (2000 -)

1) Halley comet cycle and natural disasters

2) Temple-Tatert comet cycle and strong EQs

10.3 Studies on the EQ occurrence cycles between the strongest Ms8.0 EQs in China

10.4 Common Multiples of “Long-term EQ Cycles”

10.5 What is the reason behind the 252, 75, 50, 25 & 19 yrs cycles discovered by Liu between the 16 strongest EQs ≥Ms8.0 during 1303-1951?

10.6 Relativities between EQs >Ms8.0 in China and Earth – Sun/ Moon Phase relativities

10.7 Network of “Effect Lines”

11. The Principals of Geodynamics Composition Actions -- Studies by Zhang Jia-xiang (1987 -)

11.1 Centrifugal Force & Crust Movement (1984)

11.2 Proposal on establishing a united Earth crust observation network (1986)

(Submitted to the 3rd National Seismology Science Academic Symposium)

11.3 The Burial and Distribution of Gold Deposits as Inferred on the Basis of Geodynamic Principle (1987)

11.4 Report on Statistic Analysis For Correlativity of Ground- Pressure Mine Accidents With Volcanoes And Earthquakes -- Studies by Zhang Jia-xiang (1988)

11.5 Using the Principle of Geodynamics Composition Action to Macro-predict Global Wide Volcanoes & Earthquakes

11.6 “Seismology Theory - The Principle of Geodynamics Composition Action” (1993)

Conclusion 1 – 5

Deduction 1 - 4

12. Result of researcher Wu Xi-hao’s and Prof. Yang Xue-xiang’s work

13. The non-classical Tide-Generating Force Resonance -- Studies by Ren Zhen-qiu (1975)

Natural phenomena & disasters likely caused by the TGFR effects:

Earthquakes

Killer waves

Landslides

Mystery air crashes

14. Long-term “Daily Geomagnetic Isoline Maps” of China 1973 – 1983 and “Magnetic Storm Isoline Map Images” of China 1979 - 2002

14.1 “Daily Geomagnetic Isoline Maps” of China 1973 – 1983

14.2 “Magnetic Storm Isoline Map Images” of China 1979 - 2002

15. The primary role of the Earth’s revolution around the Sun on the distribution of major EQ occurrence dates and accumulated released EQ energy on the same dates of the years

1) Global EQs Ms7.0 1900 – 1999

2) Global Deadly EQs Ms6.0 1500 – 2000

3) China EQs Ms6.0 461 – 1997

4) Japan EQs Ms6.0 599 – 1995

5) Italy EQs Ms6.0 79 – 1997

16. Conclusion

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